Tseleevo: when guns start and the season opens

4 forecasts (MET Norway, ECMWF, ICON, GFS) checked against 10 winters. Updated hourly, last at 14:51 Moscow time.

Too warm: snow cannot be made now.

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When can guns start

Weak window: 7 November, 07:00 to 12:00, 5 h, down to −3.1°, chance 81 %

For this spell: one fan gun about 57 m³ of snow, all guns about 322 m³, wind up to 4 m/s.

What each forecast says: 4 of 4 forecasts see a window within seven days.
ForecastStartsHours for gunsColdest wet bulb
MET Norway7 November, 07:005−3.1°
ECMWF7 November, 07:004−2.8°
ICON7 November, 06:007−2.6°
GFS7 November, 08:002−2.4°

MET Norway hourly; ECMWF, ICON and GFS through Open-Meteo, fetched at 14:51.

Wet bulb
+0.3°
Air
+1.4°
Humidity
82 %
Wind
5 m/s
Precipitation in 24 h
0.6 mm

When the season starts: Tseleevo

Calculated 6 November.
Where the date comes from

This season so far: 3 cold hours, 73 is the ten-winter norm for today, 5 more in the forecast.

4 fan guns, 9 lances.

A cold hour is an hour at −2° wet bulb or colder. This is a weather guide, not the operator’s date.

What the operator says

No news yet. The operator’s site did not open for us on 5 November. Call before you travel.

Checked 5 November

Prices and runs

How to read this

Wet bulb is temperature adjusted for humidity. Guns start around −2° on this scale, not on the ordinary thermometer.

Grey: too warm. Darker blue: colder and better for guns. Percent of the gun’s top water flow, our estimate.

Yes means at least 6 hours in a row at about 30 % or more within three days. Our rule of thumb; the operator decides.

Only the operator and the webcam show whether guns are really running.

Wet bulb on one chart

+4°0°−2°−4° Sat 7Sun 8Mon 9Tue 10Wed 11Thu 12Fri 13 Now
Wet bulbAirSpread of ECMWF, ICON, GFSHours for guns Below −2° guns can work. Grey lines: other slopes.

Guns here: Tseleevo

4 fan guns, 9 lances. Make unknown.

Ski.ru, Целеево

Checked 6 November · Tseleevo

Seven days on this slope

DayColdest wet bulbHours for gunsChanceSnow, one fan gunSnow, all gunsWater, all guns
6 November−0.9°016 %———
7 November−3.1°581 %57 m³316 m³205 m³
8 November−0.7°019 %———
9 November+2.4°02 %———
10 November+0.6°015 %———
11 November0.0°022 %———
12 November+0.3°024 %———
13 November−1.9°049 %———

Upper bound: every gun at reference flow with enough water and pumps. Real output is lower.

Next 48 steps

All slopes now

SlopeGun nowWet bulbAir, humidity, windNext 7 daysWorth starting?
Leonid Tyagachev Ski Club, Shukolovo Cannot run +0.3° +1.4° · 82 % · 5 m/s Weak: 5 h from 7 November, 07:00
Sorochany Cannot run +0.4° +1.3° · 84 % · 5 m/s Weak: 5 h from 7 November, 07:00
Spas-Kamenka Cannot run +0.3° +1.4° · 82 % · 5 m/s Weak: 5 h from 7 November, 07:00
Stepanovo Cannot run +0.4° +1.5° · 81 % · 5 m/s Weak: 5 h from 7 November, 07:00
Tseleevo Cannot run +0.3° +1.4° · 82 % · 5 m/s Weak: 5 h from 7 November, 07:00
Volen Cannot run +0.4° +1.4° · 83 % · 5 m/s Weak: 5 h from 7 November, 07:00
Yakhroma Park Cannot run +0.4° +1.4° · 83 % · 5 m/s Weak: 5 h from 7 November, 07:00
Lata Trek, Krylatskoye Cannot run +0.5° +1.8° · 79 % · 4 m/s Weak: 3 h from 7 November, 08:00
Loza, Sergiev Posad Cannot run +0.3° +1.1° · 87 % · 5 m/s Wait: colder from 7 November, 08:00
Vorobyovy Gory / Sparrow Hills Cannot run +0.5° +1.6° · 82 % · 4 m/s Weak: 3 h from 7 November, 08:00
Kant, Nagornaya Cannot run +0.6° +1.6° · 83 % · 4 m/s Weak: 2 h from 7 November, 09:00
Olimp, Kolomna Cannot runWind 6.2 m/s: snow drifts +0.8° +1.7° · 86 % · 6 m/s Weak: 6 h from 7 November, 21:00
Freestyle Park, Dzerzhinsky Cannot run +0.6° +1.4° · 87 % · 5 m/s No window in 7 days
Guy Severin Ski Club, Chulkovo Cannot run +0.7° +1.4° · 88 % · 5 m/s No window in 7 days
Lisya Gora, Balashikha Cannot run +0.5° +1.4° · 85 % · 5 m/s No window in 7 days
  • Excellent, −7° and colder
  • Good, −4° to −7°
  • Marginal, −2° to −4°
  • Limit, −1° to −2°
  • Too warm

This shows what the weather allows, not whether guns are running. Operators decide by water, power and schedule.

Gun calculator

Enter the gun and the weather. The box shows how much snow it lays per hour and per night, and at what wind.

With nozzles and bore filled in, top flow is computed from them: Q = n × 0,7 × A × √(2Δp/ρ).

Result

— m³Snow per hour

— m³Snow for the shift

Gun works at
— %
Wet bulb
—
Water per shift
— m³
Layer on the area
— cm
Hours for that layer
—
Energy, guns only
— kWh
Snow density
— kg/m³
Lost to air and drift
— %

At what wind

WindSnow per hourPlume driftAdvice

An estimate for planning, not a manufacturer’s figure. The gun’s own chart beats this calculator. Assumptions are listed below.

Questions

When will snow guns start at Tseleevo?

Weather allows it from 7 November, 07:00: 5 h down to −3.1°, chance 81 %. The operator decides when to start.

When will Tseleevo open in 2026/27?

This season so far: 3 cold hours, 73 is the ten-winter norm for today, 5 more in the forecast. A cold hour is an hour at −2° wet bulb or colder. This is a weather guide, not the operator’s date.

Which snow guns does Tseleevo have?

4 fan guns, 9 lances. Make unknown.

What is the weather at Tseleevo now?

Air +1.4°, humidity 82 %, wind 5 m/s, wet bulb +0.3°. Cannot run.

All slopes: Weather and snow guns